1 day Ago By Gavin Ortiz
As turbulent weather conditions loom over the Great Lakes region, residents in and around Cleveland are bracing for a severe storm and potentially hazardous weather. According to the latest forecast from the National Weather Service in Cleveland, a volatile mix of thunderstorms and strong winds is expected today as a low-pressure system advances towards the area.The forecast anticipates the arrival of thunderstorms along the I-75 corridor by about 10 AM.
Despite it being an unfavorable time for storms diurnally, the environment holds roughly 1000 J/kg of MLCAPE and 40 knots of shear, fostering "some severe potential if the cluster can become surface based," the National Weather Service notes. The threat of treacherous storms persists, with strong winds, large hail, and even the possibility of tornadoes flagged for later in the day. There's a significant amount of uncertainty regarding when and where exactly these storms will hit, however, it appears the northern region of Ohio may see severe weather between 11 AM and 2 PM, while areas further south could be affected from 3 PM to 7 PM.
Moving into Tuesday night, the focus shifts to a cold front that is expected to usher in less severe conditions, albeit storms remain likely. Advancements in the forecast have illustrated a reservoir of dry air preceding the front, which could curtail storm development and potency. Following the front's passage, "temperatures will sharply fall into the 40s overnight with even some 30s possible across interior portions of Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania," according to the National Weather Service.
A brief period of calmness comes on Wednesday, thanks to an incoming high-pressure system offering slightly warmer weather.However, the weather narrative refuses to settle there. A stalled frontal boundary over southern Ohio is projected to reascend northwards by Thursday morning, threatening the resumption of rainy and stormy conditions as early as Wednesday night.
The National Weather Service also warns of another low-pressure system on the horizon for Thursday that could trigger severe weather, given the conducive atmospheric setup of ample shear and budding instability. "ML CAPE values of 500-1000 J/kg possible during the afternoon," particularly worry forecasters for their potential to fuel severe thunderstorms.Attention shifts to mariners as well, with south to southwest winds escalating today to the 15 to 25 knot range ahead of the cold front.
This uptick warrants a Small Craft Advisory in Ohio and Pennsylvania's nearshore waters due to the prospect of gusts between 30-35 knots and resultant turbulent waves. Moreover, the threat of potent thunderstorms further complicates marine navigation, particularly east of Cleveland this afternoon.As the week rolls forward, uncertainty pervades the atmosphere with models predicting various scenarios.
The extended outlook into the weekend hints at a cooling trend, with below-normal temperatures Saturday transitioning to potential frosty conditions westward of Pennsylvania and Northeast Ohio by Saturday night. Sunny skies on Sunday and a gradual warm-up early next week offer a mild reprieve, whilst weather patterns are closely monitored for changes..
