The weather in Honolulu is expected to feature partly cloudy skies and scattered showers over the next few days, with light trade winds, according to the latest update from the National Weather Service (NWS). The report indicates that the trade winds will occasionally weaken, allowing local sea and land breezes to form afternoon clouds, which will disperse by evening. Windward regions and higher elevations (mauka areas) can expect thicker cloud cover and a higher chance of showers.
A forecast change, however, is looming northwest of the state, with a deepening low threatening to disrupt this relatively mild pattern. This system is expected to "introduce higher chances for island-wide rain and potential storms," as reported by NWS. With the flow of wind shifting more to the southeast, residents should be geared up to potentially face not just showers but thunderstorms as well in the coming week.
Despite the likelihood of increased precipitation, the good news is no significant rain events are currently expected. A stable atmosphere is keeping things in check for now. But don't be fooled by the calm; the air is still "marginally unstable and moist enough to support widely scattered showers," as the NWS notes.
So while there may not be cause for widespread concern, localized heavy rainfall cannot be entirely ruled out, especially given the notably high precipitable water values recorded recently.The coming days will see moderate trade winds persist before giving way to less predictable conditions. Mariners and beachgoers are advised to stay vigilant, as the winds will "veer southeasterly in advance of a deep low" set to develop northwest of the islands.
Thunderstorms are a possibility over the western waters, a reminder to those at sea to be prepared for a quick shift in weather dynamics.Surf conditions are similarly influenced by the prevailing winds and weather patterns. The NWS forecasts a fading north swell making way for a modest boost in surf along north and west facing shores by next weekend thanks to a distant gale.
East facing shores, on the other hand, can expect surf to remain small through Monday, diminishing even further mid week as southerly winds strengthen. For the south-facing shores, a long-period south swell should bring noticeable surf, with conditions peaking mid week before a gradual decline..
Environment
Honolulu Braces for Mixed Weather with Partly Cloudy Skies and Potential Storms

Honolulu expects partly cloudy skies and scattered showers with light trades, and potential for island-wide rain and storms ahead.