Pundits see a 'diploma divide' in politics. They're focused on the wrong thing

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Education level is viewed as a key factor in how people vote. But it's dangerous to overlook the question of class - www.theguardian.com

Since about 2020, a number of researchers have determined that the most salient divide in politics today is the diploma divide – that is, the division between those who have a four-year college degree and those who do not. Those who have a degree are more liberal, those who don't are less. The former tend to vote for Democrats, the latter for Republicans.

There is a certain elegance to how simple and clean the picture is. And, by virtue of this tidiness, some insist that "educational polarization" is a better way to understand political shifts today than reliance on older, softer, messier ideas like social class. Conceptual cleanliness is certainly attractive.



It's far easier to determine who is "college educated" and who is not than it is to establish similarly defined boundaries between the working and middle classes. Yet whether we understand shifting political alignments as a function of class, as a broad social and relational concept, or education, a narrow credential category, implies a great deal about political strategy. For one thing, it's not a good sign that those who wish to craft a political strategy for progressives are looking for yet more ways to make class disappear from the conversation.

Traditional class concepts, by their mere mention, reveal something significant about the nature of our society. To talk about "the working class" in politics reminds us that there is a relationship between the type of work people do, their labor market position, their economic interests and their ideology. To say that a political party wins the "the working class vote" is to suggest that they persuaded these voters that they stand for the interests of the humble against the interests of the elite.

Yet if we focus only on education, we risk suggesting something different altogether. If we say that a given party wins the "non-college-educated vote", without reference to social class, we risk suggesting that political behavior is related, primarily, to..

. Dustin Guastella.