Tariffs imposed by the US risk causing a recession, Scotland’s First Minister has said. John Swinney warned of the economic impact of the policy decisions taken by the Trump administration, saying it would likely cause damage if the Scottish Government fails to take action, but insisted that the “time is right” for Scotland to become an independent country. The US President imposed a 10% reciprocal tariff on all goods exported from the UK, along with the 25% global levy on car exports, but has since announced a 90 day delay to the plans.
At a press conference on Monday, the First Minister was asked if there would be a recession in the next 12 months. “The honest answer to that is that I don’t know,” he said. “But I think there’s a risk of it and that’s why I’m setting out the steps that I’m taking today, because I want to make sure we’re as front-footed as we can be to resist that eventuality.
“I can’t say to you with certainty it will happen, but I think there’s a risk it might and, therefore, we’ve got to be on the front foot to resist that.” The First Minister added that a recession is “more likely” than it was before the tariff announcement was made. But asked if the turmoil would make him drop his push for Scottish independence, the First Minister took the opposite position, citing potential closer relations with the EU and enhanced economic powers.
“I believe the time is right for that (independence), because it is so important that we have the economic scope and powers to act in the interest of the people of Scotland,” he said. Mr Swinney called a press conference on Monday morning, bringing forward the announcement of his legislative agenda to next month to allow for a “full year of delivery” before the next Holyrood election. The programme for government – usually announced in the first week after the summer recess – will be laid out to Holyrood on May 6, laying out the blueprint for the final 12 months of the parliamentary term.
“There is a need to challenge ourselves on policy to make sure the policy interventions that we take are commensurate with the scale of the challenges that we now face,” he said. “That’s essentially the work that the Scottish Government is going to do to make sure that we have a programme for government that is doing the two things that I said it will do. “It will focus on delivering for the people of Scotland and it will focus on delivering hope for the people of Scotland and that’s got to be the core of the programme that we bring.
” The announcements coming will not require a “fundamental realignment” of the budget, the First Minister said, claiming there was sufficient scope for cash which has not yet been allocated to fund new initiatives. Scottish Conservative finance spokesperson Craig Hoy said: “It defies all logic that John Swinney wants to compound the global economic turbulence that’s currently buffeting Scotland by once again pushing for independence. “Tearing Scotland out of the UK would be an act of economic self-harm at any time, but doing so now, when the world economy is facing extreme pressure, would be utterly reckless.
”.
Politics
US tariffs risk recession and Scotland must be ready to deal with it – Swinney

Despite the potential upheaval ahead, the First Minister said ‘the time is right’ for Scottish independence.